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Calibration of Highway Safety Manual Work Zone Crash Modification Factors

Project Details
STATUS

Completed

START DATE

08/08/14

END DATE

08/08/14

RESEARCH CENTERS InTrans, SWZDI
SPONSORS

Missouri

Researchers
Principal Investigator
Carlos Sun
Co-Principal Investigator
Praveen Edara

University of Missouri-Columbia

Co-Principal Investigator
Henry Brown

University of Missouri - Columbia

Student Researcher(s)
Zhongyuan (Eric) Zhu
Roozbeh Rahmani

About the research

The Highway Safety Manual is the national safety manual that provides quantitative methods for analyzing highway safety. The HSM presents crash modification factors related to work zone characteristics such as work zone duration and length. These crash modification factors were based on high-impact work zones in California. Therefore there was a need to use work zone and safety data from the Midwest to calibrate these crash modification factors for use in the Midwest. Almost 11,000 Missouri freeway work zones were analyzed to derive a representative and stratified sample of 162 work zones. The 162 work zones was more than four times the number of work zones used in the HSM. This dataset was used for modeling and testing crash modification factors applicable to the Midwest. The dataset contained work zones ranging from 0.76 mile to 9.24 miles and with durations from 16 days to 590 days. A combined fatal/injury/non-injury model produced a R2 fit of 0.9079 and a prediction slope of 0.963. The resulting crash modification factors of 1.01 for duration and 0.58 for length were smaller than the values in the HSM. Two practical application examples illustrate the use of the crash modification factors for comparing alternate work zone setups.

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